#include #include "lib/mlrstat.h" // ================================================================ // These are intended for streaming (i.e. single-pass) applications. Otherwise // the formulas look different (and are more intuitive). // ================================================================ // ---------------------------------------------------------------- // Univariate linear regression // ---------------------------------------------------------------- // There are N (xi, yi) pairs. // // minimize E = sum (yi - m xi - b)^2 // // Set the two partial derivatives to zero and solve for m and b: // // DE/Dm = sum 2 (yi - m xi - b) (-xi) = 0 // DE/Db = sum 2 (yi - m xi - b) (-1) = 0 // // sum (yi - m xi - b) (xi) = 0 // sum (yi - m xi - b) = 0 // // sum (xi yi - m xi^2 - b xi) = 0 // sum (yi - m xi - b) = 0 // // m sum(xi^2) + b sum(xi) = sum(xi yi) // m sum(xi) + b N = sum(yi) // // [ sum(xi^2) sum(xi) ] [ m ] = [ sum(xi yi) ] // [ sum(xi) N ] [ b ] = [ sum(yi) ] // // [ m ] = [ sum(xi^2) sum(xi) ]^-1 [ sum(xi yi) ] // [ b ] [ sum(xi) N ] [ sum(yi) ] // // = [ N -sum(xi) ] [ sum(xi yi) ] * 1/D // [ -sum(xi) sum(xi^2)] [ sum(yi) ] // // where // // D = N sum(xi^2) - sum(xi)^2. // // So // // N sum(xi yi) - sum(xi) sum(yi) // m = -------------------------------- // D // // -sum(xi)sum(xi yi) + sum(xi^2) sum(yi) // b = ---------------------------------------- // D // // ---------------------------------------------------------------- void mlr_get_linear_regression_ols(unsigned long long n, double sumx, double sumx2, double sumxy, double sumy, double* pm, double* pb) { double D = n * sumx2 - sumx*sumx; double m = (n * sumxy - sumx * sumy) / D; double b = (-sumx * sumxy + sumx2 * sumy) / D; *pm = m; *pb = b; } // We would need a second pass through the data to compute the error-bars given // the data and the m and the b. // // # Young 1962, pp. 122-124. Compute sample variance of linear // # approximations, then variances of m and b. // var_z = 0.0 // for i in range(0, N): // var_z += (m * xs[i] + b - ys[i])**2 // var_z /= N // // var_m = (N * var_z) / D // var_b = (var_z * sumx2) / D // // output = [m, b, math.sqrt(var_m), math.sqrt(var_b)] // ---------------------------------------------------------------- double mlr_get_var(unsigned long long n, double sum, double sum2) { double mean = sum / n; double numerator = sum2 - 2.0*mean*sum + n*mean*mean; if (numerator < 0.0) // round-off error numerator = 0.0; double denominator = n - 1LL; return numerator / denominator; } // ---------------------------------------------------------------- // Non-streaming implementation: // // def find_sample_covariance(xs, ys): // n = len(xs) // mean_x = find_mean(xs) // mean_y = find_mean(ys) // // sum = 0.0 // for k in range(0, n): // sum += (xs[k] - mean_x) * (ys[k] - mean_y) // // return sum / (n-1.0) double mlr_get_cov(unsigned long long n, double sumx, double sumy, double sumxy) { double meanx = sumx / n; double meany = sumy / n; double numerator = sumxy - meanx*sumy - meany*sumx + n*meanx*meany; double denominator = n - 1; return numerator / denominator; } // ---------------------------------------------------------------- void mlr_get_cov_matrix(unsigned long long n, double sumx, double sumx2, double sumy, double sumy2, double sumxy, double Q[2][2]) { double denominator = n - 1; Q[0][0] = (sumx2 - sumx*sumx/n) / denominator; Q[0][1] = (sumxy - sumx*sumy/n) / denominator; Q[1][0] = Q[0][1]; Q[1][1] = (sumy2 - sumy*sumy/n) / denominator; } // ---------------------------------------------------------------- // Principal component analysis can be used for linear regression: // // * Compute the covariance matrix for the x's and y's. // // * Find its eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the cov. (This is real-symmetric // so Jacobi iteration is simple and fine.) // // * The principal eigenvector points in the direction of the fit. // // * The covariance matrix is computed on zero-mean data so the intercept // is zero. The fit equation is of the form (y - nu) = m*(x - mu) where mu // and nu are x and y means, respectively. // // * If the fit is perfect then the 2nd eigenvalue will be zero; if the fit is // good then the 2nd eigenvalue will be smaller; if the fit is bad then // they'll be about the same. I use 1 - |lambda2|/|lambda1| as an indication // of quality of the fit. // // Standard ("ordinary least-squares") linear regression is appropriate when // the errors are thought to be all in the y's. PCA ("total least-squares") is // appropriate when the x's and the y's are thought to both have errors. void mlr_get_linear_regression_pca( // Inputs: double eigenvalue_1, double eigenvalue_2, double eigenvector_1[2], double eigenvector_2[2], double x_mean, double y_mean, // Outputs: double* pm, double* pb, double* pquality) { double abs_1 = fabs(eigenvalue_1); double abs_2 = fabs(eigenvalue_2); double quality = 1.0; if (abs_1 == 0.0) quality = 0.0; else if (abs_2 > 0.0) quality = 1.0 - abs_2 / abs_1; double a0 = eigenvector_1[0]; double a1 = eigenvector_1[1]; double m = a1 / a0; double b = y_mean - m * x_mean; *pm = m; *pb = b; *pquality = quality; }